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Red178
6633.6
301557.4
931252.2
Blue100
332246.9
1028510.8
608132.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174110050150200250178100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+66Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave0
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points26
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +41
24Coral scored#13
85Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
111Total teleop70
Reef
11L4#8
10L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
178Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.8
60.861.6
Auto17.7
Teleop32.2
End7.5
red by 10.5
3322
#20
46.91.0
49.848.8
Auto10.4
Teleop30.5
End6.0
Second
52.20.8
48.949.8
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
red by 20.3
6081
#25
32.01.0
31.130.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
Third
66
#26
33.60.8
34.835.6
Auto6.7
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 22.8
10.81.0
15.914.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed