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Red114
4847.0
24740.6
719638.5
Blue132
168436.4
150643.0
150238.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713480100120140160180114132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
70Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
114Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#9
47.01.8
49.547.7
Auto10.5
Teleop28.9
End7.6
red by 4.0
1506
#11
43.00.4
44.945.2
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
247
#8
40.61.8
44.042.2
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
red by 2.0
1502
#23
38.60.4
37.337.7
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
Third
7196
#17
38.51.8
41.639.9
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
red by 2.1
1684
#19
36.40.4
38.538.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed