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Red155
436242.1
817936.7
118962.6
Blue104
608132.0
657038.5
931252.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137134110120130140150155104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+61Teleop
+39Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +50
20Coral scored#9
73Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
99Total teleop49
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
12Foul points0
155Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#10
62.61.1
53.855.0
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
red by 10.4
52.21.1
49.848.6
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
Second
4362
#21
42.11.1
37.839.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.9
End1.3
red by 3.6
6570
#28
38.51.1
41.240.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3
Third
8179
#15
36.71.1
34.435.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
red by 4.8
6081
#25
32.01.1
30.129.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned