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Red145
125029.5
168436.4
924574.6
Blue40
361821.4
1028510.8
7660B16.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18639010015020025030014540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+99Teleop
+115Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
26Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +76
20Coral scored#5
73Coral points19
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
103Total teleop27
Reef
8L4#2
8L3#1
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#7
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points10
145Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.60.7
79.278.5
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End8.6
red by 53.2
3618
#31
21.41.9
22.220.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End0.6
Second
1684
#19
36.40.7
38.938.1
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End3.6
red by 20.3
16.13.1
11.88.7
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Third
1250
#24
29.50.7
26.625.9
Auto4.2
Teleop23.1
End2.2
red by 18.7
10.81.9
14.913.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed