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Red198
506651.8
170172.1
301557.4
Blue108
721142.4
6633.6
118825.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220124050100150200250300198108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+96Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
47Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +71
28Coral scored#16
101Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
145Total teleop74
Reef
16L4#5
8L3#4
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
198Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.3
72.171.8
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 29.7
7211
#22
42.41.4
42.140.7
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
Second
57.40.3
61.661.3
Auto17.7
Teleop32.2
End7.5
red by 23.8
66
#26
33.61.4
35.634.2
Auto6.7
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Third
51.80.3
47.647.3
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
red by 26.2
25.71.4
28.427.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed