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Red45
1028510.8
657038.5
570823.4
Blue71
24740.6
83015.4
150643.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851200501001502002504571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
45Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#28
38.52.3
40.137.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3
blue by 4.5
1506
#11
43.02.3
45.243.0
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
5708
#13
23.42.3
25.723.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
blue by 17.2
247
#8
40.62.3
42.240.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Third
10.82.3
13.010.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 4.6
830
#12
15.42.3
17.615.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned