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Red124
170172.1
719638.5
118825.7
Blue105
7196B21.7
931252.2
361821.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16588050100150200250124105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points28
40Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
68Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
124Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.11.0
71.870.8
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 19.8
52.21.1
48.649.7
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
Second
7196
#17
38.51.0
39.938.9
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
red by 16.8
21.71.8
19.921.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Third
25.71.0
27.026.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7
red by 4.3
3618
#31
21.41.1
20.321.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned