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Red148
150238.6
54858.0
6633.6
Blue161
7660B16.1
118962.6
7211B31.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170103050150200250148161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#21
69Coral points74
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
24Processor points24
20Net points20
44Algae points44
113Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
148Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#14
58.00.4
58.758.4
Auto7.9
Teleop44.2
End5.8
blue by 4.6
1189
#10
62.63.7
55.058.7
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
1502
#23
38.60.4
37.737.3
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 7.1
31.56.1
20.026.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
Third
66
#26
33.60.4
34.233.8
Auto6.7
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 17.5
16.16.1
8.714.9
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned