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Red127
332246.9
168436.4
566062.1
Blue124
721142.4
817936.7
125029.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171106050150200250127124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#21
51Coral points77
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
81Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#11
9L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
127Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.11.8
62.760.9
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 19.7
7211
#22
42.41.1
40.741.8
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
Second
3322
#20
46.91.8
47.245.4
Auto10.4
Teleop30.5
End6.0
red by 10.2
8179
#15
36.71.1
35.636.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
Third
1684
#19
36.41.8
38.136.3
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End3.6
red by 6.9
1250
#24
29.51.1
25.927.0
Auto4.2
Teleop23.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned