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Red216
301557.4
6633.6
924574.6
Blue105
1028510.8
168436.4
817936.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21489050150200250300216105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+113Teleop
+111Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
0Leave0
11Coral scored#3
53Coral points16
53Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +76
33Coral scored#16
119Coral points59
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
159Total teleop83
Reef
15L4#9
11L3#5
10L2#3
8L1 · trough#2
52Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +111
0Foul points0
216Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.60.6
74.875.4
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End8.6
red by 37.9
8179
#15
36.70.1
36.736.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
Second
57.40.6
57.658.3
Auto17.7
Teleop32.2
End7.5
red by 21.0
1684
#19
36.40.1
36.336.4
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End3.6
Third
66
#26
33.60.6
33.834.5
Auto6.7
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 22.8
10.80.1
10.810.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1