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Red97
719638.5
118825.7
54858.0
Blue159
125029.5
931252.2
436242.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341235010015020097159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
53Total teleop95
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
97Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#14
58.00.6
58.457.8
Auto7.9
Teleop44.2
End5.8
red by 5.7
52.20.8
49.750.5
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
Second
7196
#17
38.50.6
38.938.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
blue by 3.6
4362
#21
42.10.8
39.540.4
Auto12.8
Teleop27.9
End1.3
Third
25.70.6
26.025.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7
blue by 3.9
1250
#24
29.50.8
27.027.8
Auto4.2
Teleop23.1
End2.2