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Red183
566062.1
150238.6
170172.1
Blue158
4847.0
608132.0
332246.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198127050100150250300183158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points24
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
99Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#5
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
183Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.3
70.871.1
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 25.1
48
#9
47.00.8
45.646.4
Auto10.5
Teleop28.9
End7.6
Second
62.10.3
60.961.2
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 15.2
3322
#20
46.90.8
45.446.3
Auto10.4
Teleop30.5
End6.0
Third
1502
#23
38.60.3
37.337.6
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 6.6
6081
#25
32.00.8
30.531.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9