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Red146
7211B31.5
118962.6
506651.8
Blue163
657038.5
24740.6
721142.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150137100120160180200146163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
92Total teleop100
Reef
13L4#7
7L3#7
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
146Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#10
62.60.2
58.758.5
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
red by 20.2
7211
#22
42.40.4
41.842.2
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
Second
51.80.2
47.847.7
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
red by 11.2
247
#8
40.60.4
40.040.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Third
31.50.3
26.125.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
blue by 7.0
6570
#28
38.50.4
37.938.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3