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Red86
1028510.8
168436.4
817936.7
Blue151
719638.5
118825.7
54858.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8613905010015020086151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+41
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
68Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#7
4L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
86Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#15
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
blue by 21.3
548
#14
58.00.6
57.858.4
Auto7.9
Teleop44.2
End5.8
Second
1684
#19
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End3.6
blue by 2.1
7196
#17
38.50.6
38.338.9
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
Third
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 14.9
25.70.6
25.526.1
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7