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Red155
4847.0
608132.0
332246.9
Blue201
7211B31.5
118962.6
506651.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13614850100200250155201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
18Coral scored#29
65Coral points106
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
109Total teleop140
Reef
7L4#13
10L3#9
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
155Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#9
47.00.6
46.447.0
Auto10.5
Teleop28.9
End7.6
blue by 15.6
1189
#10
62.61.5
58.560.0
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
3322
#20
46.90.6
46.346.9
Auto10.4
Teleop30.5
End6.0
blue by 4.9
51.81.5
47.749.1
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
Third
6081
#25
32.00.6
31.332.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
red by 0.5
31.52.4
25.828.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4