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Red106
170691.8
495918.9
198772.5
Blue174
198675.0
580177.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20716850100150250300106174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +40
11Coral scored#23
41Coral points83
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
71Total teleop111
Reef
4L4#15
6L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +68
2Foul points10
106Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.81.8
92.490.6
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 14.6
77.20.2
75.675.7
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
72.51.8
73.171.3
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
blue by 2.5
75.00.2
73.373.4
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Third
4959
#27
18.91.8
19.517.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 9.4
9.50.2
7.88.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1