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Red214
170691.8
495918.9
198772.5
Blue186
198675.0
580177.2
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202171050100150250300350400214186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +21
29Coral scored#21
103Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
127Total teleop106
Reef
15L4#13
12L3#7
9L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +28
20Foul points0
214Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.3
91.591.8
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 14.6
77.20.6
76.677.2
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
72.50.3
72.272.5
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
blue by 2.5
75.00.6
74.475.0
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Third
4959
#27
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 9.4
9.50.6
8.99.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1