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Red134
198675.0
110850.1
Blue144
170691.8
445514.3
172326.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441570100200300400500600134144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
88Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#8
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points0
134Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.2
65.465.2
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
blue by 16.8
91.80.0
91.791.7
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
Second
1108
#11
50.10.2
51.251.0
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
red by 23.4
1723
#22
26.70.0
26.926.9
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Third
10453
#24Sur
9.50.2
11.211.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 4.8
4455
#16
14.30.0
16.316.3
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned