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Red119
245725.6
639135.2
198772.5
Blue68
942839.7
684321.4
176915.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1706805010015020025011968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
80Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
119Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.51.8
78.676.8
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
red by 32.8
39.70.5
30.029.5
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
Second
6391
#13
35.21.8
40.038.2
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
red by 13.7
6843
#14
21.40.5
22.522.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
Third
2457
#20Sur
25.61.8
27.725.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
red by 10.3
1769
#18Sur
15.30.5
22.522.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned