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Red181
806925.4
450059.9
184749.1
Blue154
882543.6
580177.2
87199.8
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451330100200300400500600181154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +4
23Coral scored#21
83Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
107Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#9
10L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
30Foul points0
181Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.1
61.661.7
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
blue by 17.4
77.21.0
66.567.5
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
1847
#19
49.10.1
42.542.6
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
red by 5.5
43.61.0
42.143.1
Auto4.2
Teleop33.5
End5.9
Third
8069
#25
25.40.1
27.827.9
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
red by 15.6
8719
#21
9.81.0
10.411.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned