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Red57
512629.7
495918.9
684321.4
Blue73
176915.3
110850.1
509825.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781170501001502002505773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +9
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
30Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
57Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#12
29.71.3
33.231.9
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End0.5
blue by 20.4
1108
#11
50.12.3
51.048.6
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
Second
6843
#14
21.41.3
22.020.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
blue by 3.8
5098
#10
25.22.3
29.126.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
4959
#27
18.91.3
21.620.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 3.6
1769
#18
15.32.3
22.119.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed