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Red128
747224.7
684321.4
110850.1
Blue128
806925.4
245725.6
198675.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97137050150200250128128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
70Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
128Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#11
50.1
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
blue by 24.9
75.0
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Second
24.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
blue by 0.9
2457
#20
25.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Third
6843
#14
21.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
blue by 4.0
8069
#25
25.4
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned