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Red59
526837.8
172326.7
Blue143
512629.7
176915.3
580177.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8014805010020025059143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+78
Endgame+78
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave3
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#7
6Processor points18
4Net points28
10Algae points46
44Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points6
59Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#17
37.81.8
40.038.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
blue by 39.5
77.20.6
67.167.6
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
1723
#22
26.71.8
29.728.0
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
blue by 3.0
5126
#12
29.70.6
32.432.9
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End0.5
Third
9.51.8
9.67.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 5.8
1769
#18
15.30.6
23.824.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed