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Red140
580177.2
806925.4
198772.5
Blue72
495918.9
110850.1
445514.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2068705015025030014072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+72Teleop
+62Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#8
63Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
87Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
8L3#3
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
6Foul points0
140Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.22.4
70.468.0
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
red by 27.2
1108
#11
50.11.0
48.847.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
Second
72.52.4
74.171.7
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
red by 53.6
4959
#27
18.91.0
19.618.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Third
8069
#25
25.42.4
25.823.4
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
red by 11.1
4455
#16
14.31.0
19.118.1
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned