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Red163
170691.8
512629.7
639135.2
Blue178
450059.9
198675.0
501326.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173177140150160190200210220163178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points34
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
20Coral scored#23
72Coral points81
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#7
12Processor points6
8Net points28
20Algae points34
92Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#9
11L3#9
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
163Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.2
92.892.6
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 16.8
75.00.4
68.168.5
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Second
6391
#13
35.20.2
37.537.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
blue by 24.7
59.90.4
60.661.0
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
Third
5126
#12
29.70.2
30.830.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End0.5
red by 3.0
5013
#23
26.70.4
36.837.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned