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Red54
684321.4
509825.2
199722.0
Blue92
942839.7
747224.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737440506080901001105492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
32Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points4
54Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#10
25.21.8
25.723.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
blue by 14.5
39.71.6
30.632.1
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
Second
1997
#26
22.01.8
26.524.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.8
blue by 2.7
24.71.6
22.023.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
6843
#14
21.41.8
20.718.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
red by 12.0
9.51.6
8.910.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned