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Red76
445514.3
180223.8
526837.8
Blue95
75729.1
110850.1
87199.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781050501502007695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points47
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
50Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
76Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#17
37.80.1
33.533.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
blue by 12.3
1108
#11
50.10.1
48.648.8
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
Second
1802
#15
23.80.1
18.618.5
Auto2.1
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 5.3
757
#4
29.10.1
27.027.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Third
4455
#16
14.30.1
19.219.1
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
red by 4.5
8719
#21
9.80.1
12.512.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned