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Red83
172326.7
184749.1
245725.6
Blue166
198772.5
176915.3
882543.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031665015020025083166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+33
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +17
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
63Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#4
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points50
83Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1847
#19
49.11.7
42.741.0
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
blue by 23.4
72.52.4
76.574.1
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
Second
1723
#22
26.71.7
26.624.9
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
blue by 16.9
43.62.4
43.340.9
Auto4.2
Teleop33.5
End5.9
Third
2457
#20
25.61.7
28.827.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
red by 10.3
1769
#18
15.32.4
19.717.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned