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Red55
501326.7
806925.4
Blue107
509825.2
512629.7
450059.9
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114005010020055107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+52
Endgame+54
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +39
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
43Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
2Foul points0
55Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#23
26.72.0
38.936.8
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
blue by 33.2
59.91.1
61.760.6
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
Second
8069
#25
25.42.0
27.925.8
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
blue by 4.3
5126
#12
29.71.1
31.930.8
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End0.5
Third
9.52.0
11.08.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 15.7
5098
#10
25.21.1
26.825.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed