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Red160
942839.7
170691.8
87199.8
Blue112
526837.8
495918.9
639135.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15593050200250160112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points11
40Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
18Processor points6
32Net points12
50Algae points18
104Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points18
160Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.81.1
91.792.8
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 54.0
5268
#17
37.80.7
34.233.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
Second
39.71.1
29.530.6
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
red by 4.5
6391
#13
35.20.7
38.237.5
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
Third
8719
#21
9.81.1
11.412.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End1.9
blue by 9.1
4959
#27
18.90.7
20.219.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed