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Red157
198675.0
526837.8
184749.1
Blue101
245725.6
684321.4
450059.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159114050100200250157101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +43
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
94Total teleop51
Reef
10L4#8
9L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
157Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.9
68.569.4
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
red by 15.1
59.90.4
61.060.6
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
Second
1847
#19
49.10.9
41.042.0
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
red by 23.5
2457
#20
25.60.4
27.126.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Third
5268
#17
37.80.9
33.534.4
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
red by 16.3
6843
#14
21.40.4
18.918.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned