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Red122
445514.3
580177.2
942839.7
Blue66
501326.7
184749.1
747224.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011405010020025012266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +39
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
70Total teleop31
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points10
122Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.20.2
69.269.4
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
red by 28.2
1847
#19
49.13.1
42.038.9
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
Second
39.70.2
32.232.4
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
red by 13.0
5013
#23
26.73.1
35.732.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
Third
4455
#16
14.30.2
18.118.2
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
blue by 10.4
24.73.1
24.821.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed