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Red109
495918.9
170691.8
Blue131
180223.8
184749.1
684321.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15180050100200250109131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
63Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
109Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.81.3
94.593.2
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 42.7
1847
#19
49.12.7
41.143.8
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
Second
4959
#27
18.91.3
18.417.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 4.9
1802
#15
23.82.7
19.121.8
Auto2.1
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Third
9.51.3
10.08.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 12.0
6843
#14
21.42.7
18.821.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned