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Red187
110850.1
198772.5
942839.7
Blue172
580177.2
198675.0
509825.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162182100150200250187172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +19
26Coral scored#19
92Coral points69
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
126Total teleop107
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#6
10L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
187Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.52.1
71.573.6
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
blue by 4.7
77.20.2
70.770.5
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
1108
#11
50.12.1
48.850.9
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
blue by 24.9
75.00.2
72.572.3
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Third
39.72.1
35.037.1
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
red by 14.5
5098
#10
25.20.2
25.525.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned