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Red57
176915.3
501326.7
172326.7
Blue42
199722.0
806925.4
445514.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90710501502002505742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +27
7Coral scored#1
24Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
32Total teleop5
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points8
57Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#22
26.71.5
28.326.7
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
red by 1.3
8069
#25
25.42.3
25.022.7
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Second
5013
#23
26.71.5
32.731.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
red by 4.7
1997
#26
22.02.3
24.522.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.8
Third
1769
#18
15.31.5
18.817.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
red by 1.0
4455
#16
14.32.3
18.416.1
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned