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Red108
747224.7
882543.6
75729.1
Blue100
87199.8
639135.2
450059.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93125050150200250108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points31
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
66Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
108Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.4
39.641.0
Auto4.2
Teleop33.5
End5.9
blue by 16.3
59.90.5
60.359.8
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
Second
757
#4
29.11.4
25.126.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End7.1
blue by 6.1
6391
#13
35.20.5
36.536.0
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
Third
24.71.4
22.523.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
red by 14.9
8719
#21
9.80.5
10.810.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned