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Red102
75729.1
450059.9
176915.3
Blue94
639135.2
684321.4
501326.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1168905010015020010294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+34Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
72Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
102Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.1
59.859.7
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
red by 24.7
6391
#13
35.20.3
36.036.4
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
Second
757
#4
29.10.1
26.526.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End7.1
red by 2.5
5013
#23
26.70.3
31.231.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
Third
1769
#18
15.30.1
17.317.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
blue by 6.1
6843
#14
21.40.3
21.521.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned