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Red55
87199.8
245725.6
495918.9
Blue98
526837.8
806925.4
747224.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569401502005598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
46Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
55Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#20
25.60.3
29.329.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
blue by 12.2
5268
#17
37.80.8
36.837.6
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
Second
4959
#27
18.90.3
17.116.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 6.5
8069
#25
25.40.8
22.723.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
8719
#21
9.80.3
10.310.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End1.9
blue by 14.9
24.70.8
23.924.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed