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Red62
110850.1
501326.7
245725.6
Blue91
87199.8
198772.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128980501502002503006291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+21
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
37Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points8
62Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#11
50.13.6
50.947.2
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
blue by 22.4
72.50.8
71.871.0
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
Second
5013
#23
26.73.6
31.627.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
red by 16.9
8719
#21
9.80.8
10.09.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
2457
#20
25.63.6
29.025.4
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
red by 16.1
9.50.8
7.56.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed