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Red146
198675.0
180223.8
512629.7
Blue111
184749.1
509825.2
495918.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14285050100200250146111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +30
22Coral scored#17
79Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
105Total teleop75
Reef
13L4#9
7L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
146Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.00.8
70.571.3
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
red by 25.9
1847
#19
49.10.6
43.844.4
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
Second
5126
#12
29.70.8
29.730.5
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End0.5
red by 4.5
5098
#10
25.20.6
24.224.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
1802
#15
23.80.8
22.623.4
Auto2.1
Teleop20.2
End1.6
red by 4.9
4959
#27
18.90.6
16.817.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed