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Qual 62025 MoKan State Championship
Red69
176915.3
942839.7
245725.6
Blue169
104539.5
198675.0
75729.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110605015020069169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+66
Endgame+88
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
11Coral scored#17
40Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
6Processor points12
4Net points28
10Algae points40
50Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points12
69Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9428
#9
39.71.8
31.8→30.0
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
blue by 35.3
1986
#3
75.03.4
62.0→65.4
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Second
2457
#20
25.61.8
29.6→27.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
blue by 3.5
757
#4
29.13.4
24.1→27.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Third
1769
#18
15.31.8
24.4→22.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
red by 5.8
10453
#24
9.53.4
7.8→11.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned