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Red156
684321.4
198772.5
445514.3
Blue150
172326.7
580177.2
450059.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11718350100150200250156150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +7
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points70
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
83Total teleop90
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
156Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.52.5
76.178.6
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
blue by 4.7
77.21.1
67.666.5
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
6843
#14
21.42.5
20.022.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End7.2
blue by 38.4
59.91.1
62.761.6
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
Third
4455
#16
14.32.5
13.816.3
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
blue by 12.4
1723
#22
26.71.1
28.026.9
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned