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Red167
882543.6
170691.8
509825.2
Blue68
110850.1
526837.8
199722.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18712405010015025030016768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+81Teleop
+99Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +61
20Coral scored#6
71Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
103Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#3
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#15
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
0Foul points0
167Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.1
91.691.7
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 41.7
1108
#11
50.13.8
55.151.2
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
Second
43.60.1
42.042.1
Auto4.2
Teleop33.5
End5.9
red by 5.8
5268
#17
37.83.8
38.334.4
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
Third
5098
#10
25.20.1
29.029.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 3.2
1997
#26
22.03.8
29.325.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed