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Red66
526837.8
501326.7
450059.9
Blue80
445514.3
747224.7
942839.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145740501002002506680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
30Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points0
66Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.4
61.359.9
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
red by 20.2
39.70.0
40.040.0
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
Second
5268
#17
37.81.4
39.237.8
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
red by 13.1
24.70.0
25.025.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
5013
#23
26.71.4
28.126.7
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3
red by 12.4
4455
#16
14.30.0
14.614.6
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3