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Red210
170691.8
495918.9
198772.5
Blue179
198675.0
580177.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20716750100150250300350210179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +26
27Coral scored#25
98Coral points90
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
138Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#9
7L3#12
9L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points0
210Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.5
91.992.4
Auto22.6
Teleop57.4
End11.8
red by 14.6
77.20.6
74.474.9
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
Second
72.50.5
72.673.1
Auto18.6
Teleop45.4
End8.4
blue by 2.5
75.00.6
72.172.6
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
Third
4959
#27
18.90.5
19.019.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 9.4
9.50.6
7.37.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1