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Red64
445514.3
747224.7
942839.7
Blue153
184749.1
882543.6
806925.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912805010015020025064153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+83
Endgame+83
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +79
7Coral scored#23
26Coral points81
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
6Processor points18
16Net points28
22Algae points46
48Total teleop127
Reef
3L4#11
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points6
64Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.3
40.039.7
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
blue by 9.4
1847
#19
49.10.8
46.947.7
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End5.7
Second
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
blue by 18.9
43.60.8
41.442.2
Auto4.2
Teleop33.5
End5.9
Third
4455
#16
14.30.3
14.614.3
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3
blue by 11.1
8069
#25
25.40.8
23.324.0
Auto2.9
Teleop19.8
End2.7