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Red65
639135.2
176915.3
512629.7
Blue106
445514.3
747224.7
942839.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8978020030040050060070065106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
36Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points0
65Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#13
35.20.4
35.635.2
Auto8.6
Teleop21.4
End5.1
blue by 4.5
39.70.6
39.440.0
Auto6.7
Teleop29.9
End3.1
Second
5126
#12
29.70.4
30.129.7
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End0.5
red by 5.0
24.70.6
24.425.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Third
1769
#18
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End-0.2
red by 1.0
4455
#16
14.30.6
14.014.6
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End5.3