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Red99
509825.2
180223.8
245725.6
Blue153
75729.1
172326.7
110850.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310905010015020099153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+30
Endgame+52
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
83Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points2
99Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#20
25.60.6
25.025.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
blue by 24.5
1108
#11
50.11.2
47.648.8
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End8.7
Second
5098
#10
25.20.6
24.625.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
blue by 3.9
757
#4
29.11.2
26.727.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Third
1802
#15
23.80.6
23.223.8
Auto2.1
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 2.9
1723
#22
26.71.2
24.225.4
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4