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Red163
198675.0
580177.2
Blue132
526837.8
501326.7
450059.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17613750100150200250163132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points32
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
88Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#6
9L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points8
163Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.20.2
74.174.4
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
red by 17.4
59.90.1
61.461.3
Auto17.4
Teleop35.1
End7.4
Second
75.00.2
71.972.1
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
red by 37.2
5268
#17
37.80.1
39.339.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.8
End5.0
Third
9.50.2
7.07.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 17.2
5013
#23
26.70.1
28.228.1
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End4.3