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Red178
298750.1
310038.0
212954.4
Blue198
205248.2
282333.4
472869.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501590100200300400500600700178198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
23Coral scored#26
83Coral points93
4Processor algae#4
11Net algae#7
24Processor points24
44Net points28
68Algae points52
151Total teleop145
Reef
12L4#11
5L3#6
6L2#10
3L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
178Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#12
54.40.7
53.754.4
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
blue by 15.1
69.50.9
68.669.5
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
Second
50.10.7
49.450.1
Auto11.1
Teleop31.7
End7.3
red by 1.9
2052
#22
48.20.9
47.348.2
Auto10.5
Teleop31.4
End6.2
Third
3100
#10
38.00.7
37.338.0
Auto1.2
Teleop30.6
End6.1
red by 4.6
33.40.9
32.433.4
Auto9.3
Teleop21.6
End2.4